Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2017/2018

Pogon Szczecin II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chwaszczyno play Pogon Szczecin II in the III Liga - Group II 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chwaszczyno averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. Pogon Szczecin II averaged 2.24 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Chwaszczyno won 3, Pogon Szczecin II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 2, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Chwaszczyno and 1.43 for Pogon Szczecin II. This points to a Chwaszczyno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Chwaszczyno

18%

Draws

32%

Pogon Szczecin II

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Chwaszczyno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Chwaszczyno picked up more points recently compared to Pogon Szczecin II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Chwaszczyno Clean Sheet 17%

Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chwaszczyno	Pogon Szczecin II
Matches Played	13	29
Wins	6	10
Draws	3	4
Losses	4	15
Goals Scored	1.62	2.24
Goals Conceded	1.92	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2017 III Liga - Group II

Chwaszczyno vs Pogon Szczecin II

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Mar 19, 2017 III Liga - Group II

Pogon Szczecin II vs Chwaszczyno

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Aug 13, 2016 III Liga - Group II

Chwaszczyno vs Pogon Szczecin II

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

May 3, 2016 III Liga - Group I

Pogon Szczecin II vs Chwaszczyno

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Oct 17, 2015 III Liga - Group I

Chwaszczyno vs Pogon Szczecin II

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chwaszczyno 48 / 100

Pogon Szczecin II 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chwaszczyno Pogon Szczecin II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chwaszczyno or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chwaszczyno attacking → ← attacking Pogon Szczecin II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chwaszczyno scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Pogon Szczecin II let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chwaszczyno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin II lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elana Torun	34	24	5	5	71:24	77
2	Swit Szczecin	34	23	4	7	70:27	73
3	B. Gdynia	34	22	3	9	74:36	69
4	Lech Poznan II	34	20	6	8	69:34	66
5	KKS Kalisz	34	19	6	9	52:33	63
6	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	17	9	8	63:41	60
7	Kleczew	34	17	8	9	52:32	59
8	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	34	17	6	11	48:37	57
9	Starogard Gdanski	34	15	6	13	46:32	51
10	Pogon Szczecin II	34	14	7	13	44:54	49
11	Jarocin	34	11	9	14	45:50	42
12	KS Wierzyca Pelplin	34	12	6	16	38:47	42
13	Wda Swiecie	34	10	5	19	52:72	35
14	Gornik Konin	34	9	7	18	40:61	34
15	Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski	34	9	5	20	38:67	32
16	Przodkowo	34	7	4	23	38:75	25
17	Unia Solec Kujawski	34	4	7	23	33:80	19
18	Gryfino	34	2	5	27	9:80	11