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Cianorte vs FC Cascavel

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay, Cianorte
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Bruno Dentinho
46'
Sub
Bruno Dentinho In: Gabriel Silva
Out: Bruno Dentinho
46'
Sub
Geovane In: Antony
Out: Geovane

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense game between Cianorte and FC Cascavel finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cianorte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cianorte
6%
Draws
4%
FC Cascavel
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cianorte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cianorte come out ahead of FC Cascavel on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cianorte a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cianorte have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cianorte FC Cascavel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D
Cianorte vs FC Cascavel
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Cianorte
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Paranaense
Cianorte vs FC Cascavel
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Cianorte
2:1
May 3, 2025 Serie D
Cianorte vs FC Cascavel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesus da Silva C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinni Faria
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Cascavel Compare

Top Goalscorer Borech
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cianorte 95 / 100
FC Cascavel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cianorte FC Cascavel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cianorte found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Cascavel has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cianorte remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cianorte VS FC Cascavel
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cianorte

(Home)
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
20 Jun
Sao Joseense
0 : 1
Cianorte
Page 1 of 6

FC Cascavel

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Cascavel
1 : 1
Corinthians
28 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
27 Jun
FC Cascavel
1 : 2
Gremio
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2
Marcilio Dias
07 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 0
FC Cascavel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Londrina642014:314
2Foz do Iguacu632111:1011
3Athletico-PR631210:610
4Sao Joseense63124:310
5Maringa FC62229:78
6FC Cascavel61325:66
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Azuriz63215:411
2Coritiba62227:78
3Cianorte61418:87
4Operario-PR61234:85
5Clube Andraus Brasil61146:134
6Galo Maringa61055:133
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)