Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cianorte vs Sao Joseense

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay, Cianorte
Sun, Jun 28, 2026
1 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Juliano
1' Event
David Kaua
(Penalty)
1' Event
Thiaguinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cianorte
30%
Draws
31%
Sao Joseense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cianorte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Joseense haven't matched Cianorte's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cianorte a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Cianorte have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Joseense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cianorte Sao Joseense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Cianorte vs Sao Joseense
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
1:5
Jan 17, 2024 Paranaense
Sao Joseense vs Cianorte
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cianorte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Joseense Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cianorte 68 / 100
Sao Joseense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cianorte Sao Joseense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cianorte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cianorte's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cianorte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sao Joseense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cianorte VS Sao Joseense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cianorte

(Home)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

Sao Joseense

(Away)
26 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 4
FC Cascavel
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Londrina B
3 : 2
Sao Joseense
30 Aug
Sao Joseense
1 : 0
Azuriz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3