Sport Picks

Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Cibalia

Cibalia

4 - 0

Croatia Zmijavci

Our Tip

Match Events

Bartolovic L.

12'

Bosak D.

15'

Sub

Bartolovic L. In: Bubnjar A.

Out: Bartolovic L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Cibalia and Croatia Zmijavci finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cibalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Cibalia

39%

Draws

31%

Croatia Zmijavci

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Cibalia carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Cibalia Clean Sheet 68%

Croatia Zmijavci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cibalia	Croatia Zmijavci
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	16	11
Draws	4	6
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Prva NL

Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Nov 30, 2025 Prva NL

Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Sep 17, 2025 Prva NL

Croatia Zmijavci vs Cibalia

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Mar 30, 2025 Prva NL

Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Mar 2, 2025 Prva NL

Croatia Zmijavci vs Cibalia

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartolovic L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zabec D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Croatia Zmijavci Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibalia 41 / 100

Croatia Zmijavci 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cibalia Croatia Zmijavci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibalia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Croatia Zmijavci let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cibalia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cibalia VS Croatia Zmijavci

2.38 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rudes	33	19	8	6	49:29	65
2	Cibalia	33	17	7	9	51:33	58
3	Sesvete	33	16	9	8	42:28	57
4	Dugopolje	33	16	6	11	40:38	54
5	Dubrava Zagreb	33	13	8	12	39:46	47
6	Bijelo Brdo	33	11	9	13	30:30	42
7	Karlovac	33	13	3	17	40:45	42
8	Opatija	33	10	10	13	31:38	40
9	Orijent	33	9	11	13	40:41	38
10	Hrvace	33	10	6	17	36:48	36
11	Croatia Zmijavci	33	9	8	16	32:46	35
12	Jarun	33	8	9	16	34:42	33