Sport Picks

Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Cibalia, Vinkovci

Cibalia

3 - 1

Jarun

Our Tip

Match Events

Grdenic T.

Boban G.

(Penalty)

17'

Luetic K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Cibalia and Jarun finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cibalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Cibalia

17%

Draws

13%

Jarun

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cibalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Jarun haven't matched Cibalia's recent run of results.
Model gives Cibalia a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Cibalia Clean Sheet 68%

Jarun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cibalia	Jarun
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	9
Draws	4	8
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	2.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Prva NL

Jarun vs Cibalia

1:1

Feb 22, 2026 Prva NL

Cibalia vs Jarun

3:1

Sep 27, 2025 Prva NL

Jarun vs Cibalia

2:1

May 24, 2025 Prva NL

Cibalia vs Jarun

1:1

Nov 8, 2024 Prva NL

Jarun vs Cibalia

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Boban G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pervan M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Luetic K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibalia 77 / 100

Jarun 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cibalia Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibalia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jarun let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cibalia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cibalia VS Jarun

2.13 Goals Scored 0.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibalia

(Home)

22 Jul

Osijek

3 : 0

Cibalia

30 May

Jarun

1 : 1

Cibalia

23 May

Cibalia

3 : 2

Orijent

15 May

Rudes

2 : 3

Cibalia

09 May

Cibalia

2 : 0

Sesvete

Page 1 of 6

Jarun

(Away)

18 Jul

Mladost Zdralovi

3 : 1

Jarun

30 May

Jarun

1 : 1

Cibalia

22 May

Karlovac

2 : 1

Jarun

17 May

Jarun

0 : 2

Dubrava Zagreb

10 May

Croatia Zmijavci

1 : 2

Jarun

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rudes	33	19	8	6	49:29	65
2	Cibalia	33	17	7	9	51:33	58
3	Sesvete	33	16	9	8	42:28	57
4	Dugopolje	33	16	6	11	40:38	54
5	Dubrava Zagreb	33	13	8	12	39:46	47
6	Bijelo Brdo	33	11	9	13	30:30	42
7	Karlovac	33	13	3	17	40:45	42
8	Opatija	33	10	10	13	31:38	40
9	Orijent	33	9	11	13	40:41	38
10	Hrvace	33	10	6	17	36:48	36
11	Croatia Zmijavci	33	9	8	16	32:46	35
12	Jarun	33	8	9	16	34:42	33

Relegation - Druga NL (Main)

Promotion - HNL (Main)