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Cibalia vs Segesta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion HNK Cibalia, Vinkovci
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cibalia host Segesta in the Prva NL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Segesta have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Cibalia have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, Cibalia have won 3 to Segesta's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2016, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.13, favoring Segesta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cibalia
20%
Draws
47%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Segesta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibalia Segesta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.67 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 Prva NL
Segesta vs Cibalia
2:0
Nov 28, 2015 Prva NL
Segesta vs Cibalia
0:2
Sep 19, 2015 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Segesta
3:0
May 23, 2015 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Segesta
2:4
Nov 15, 2014 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Segesta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibalia 26 / 100
Segesta 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibalia Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibalia scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Segesta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Cibalia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cibalia VS Segesta
0.88 Goals Scored 3.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibalia

(Home)
09 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 1
Cibalia
27 Sept
Cibalia
1 : 0
Dugopolje
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
Page 1 of 6

Segesta

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)