Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cibao vs Ouanaminthe

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Rodriguez E.
37' Event
Heredia C.
48' Event
Correa R.

AI Match Summary

Cibao in this CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cibao
20%
Draws
23%
Ouanaminthe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cibao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cibao lately — more wins on the board than Ouanaminthe.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Cibao taking it.
  • Cibao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cibao, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cibao Clean Sheet 20%
Ouanaminthe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibao Ouanaminthe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.47 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Cibao vs Ouanaminthe
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibao Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heredia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ouanaminthe Compare

Top Goalscorer Altidor D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibao 85 / 100
Ouanaminthe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibao Ouanaminthe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cibao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cibao scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Ouanaminthe conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Cibao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cibao VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibao

(Home)
29 Aug
Atlantico FC
1 : 4
Cibao
25 Aug
Cibao
0 : 1
Delfines Del Este
22 Aug
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 2
Cibao
18 Aug
Mount Pleasant
1 : 2
Cibao
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
Page 1 of 7

Ouanaminthe

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 0
Ouanaminthe
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalier 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Real Hope 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Police 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
4 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
5 Arnett Gardens 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Moca 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 AC Port Of Spain 4 0 2 2 6:8 2
4 Grenades 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
5 Ouanaminthe 4 0 2 2 5:10 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024 (Play Offs)