Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciclon vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ciclon
20%
Draws
56%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora lately — more wins on the board than Ciclon.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 19%
Aurora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Aurora
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Ciclon
2:1
Apr 2, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Aurora
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 10 / 100
Aurora 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciclon scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Aurora let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ciclon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurora
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
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Aurora

(Away)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)