Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciclon vs Fancesa

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fancesa in this Nacional B 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ciclon
30%
Draws
31%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciclon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Ciclon haven't matched Fancesa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fancesa a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 10%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Fancesa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.7 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciclon
4:1
Mar 5, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Fancesa
1:1
Dec 18, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciclon
2:1
Nov 23, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Fancesa
1:4
Dec 6, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciclon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 22 / 100
Fancesa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fancesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Ciclon's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fancesa conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Ciclon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS Fancesa
1.14 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
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Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 6 4 2 0 12:6 14
2 Real America 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Universitario Beni 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Miraflores 6 0 0 6 6:18 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 12:9 10
4 Tiquipaya 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
5 Deportivo Escara 8 0 2 6 5:26 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 5 1 2 10:8 16
2 Ciclon 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Fancesa 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 3 1 4 21:12 10
5 Rosario Central 8 1 1 6 9:33 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)