Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Rojas J.
46'
46'
Sub
Rojas J. In: Canela Torres J. J.
Out: Rojas J.
46'
46'
Sub
Cavero S. In: Bandiera N.
Out: Cavero S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cienciano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Cienciano's way, sitting at 90%.
- Cienciano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AD Tarma, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cienciano | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Cienciano
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cienciano vs AD Tarma
2:3
Apr 3, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs AD Tarma
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Cienciano
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
AD Tarma vs Cienciano
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cienciano Compare
Top Goalscorer Hohberg A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garces C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
AD Tarma Compare
Top Goalscorer Rojas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bauman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cienciano 95 / 100
AD Tarma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cienciano AD Tarma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Cienciano's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
AD Tarma let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
AD Tarma's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cienciano VS AD Tarma
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cienciano
(Home) 23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5 Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1 Botafogo RJ
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
AD Tarma
(Away) 27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1 AD Tarma
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1 AD Tarma
25 Jul
Sport Boys
2 : 0 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. 5
Sport Boys 2
Sporting Cristal 1
AD Tarma 0
Final
TBD -
TBD -
