Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Ayacucho

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Garces C.
42'
Valoyes J.
45'
Falconi J.

AI Match Summary

Cienciano in this Liga 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cienciano
15%
Draws
42%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cienciano have won more games recently than Ayacucho.
  • Model gives Cienciano a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 14%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Ayacucho
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Ayacucho
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Ayacucho
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Cienciano
1:0
Jul 30, 2022 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Cienciano
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Ayacucho
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Benites Vargas L. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hohberg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Caballero F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 41 / 100
Ayacucho 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ayacucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ayacucho registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Ayacucho
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

Ayacucho

(Away)
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes 17 12 4 1 29:13 40
2 Cusco 17 11 3 3 29:15 36
3 Sporting Cristal 17 9 4 4 29:13 31
4 A. Lima 17 9 4 4 30:19 31
5 Cienciano 17 8 3 6 25:21 27
6 Los Chankas 17 9 0 8 21:28 27
7 Comerciantes Unidos 17 7 5 5 20:21 26
8 FBC Melgar 17 6 7 4 24:17 25
9 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 6 7 4 20:21 25
10 AD Tarma 17 7 4 6 19:20 25
11 Alianza Atl. 17 6 5 6 15:12 23
12 Sport Huancayo 17 5 3 9 28:28 18
13 Alianza Huanuco 17 5 2 10 23:33 17
14 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 19:24 16
15 Sport Boys 17 4 4 9 14:25 16
16 Juan Pablo II 17 3 5 9 13:23 14
17 Ayacucho 17 4 2 11 16:29 14
18 Cajamarca 17 3 4 10 16:28 13
19 Binacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 1 2025 (Play Offs)