Sport Picks
Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
34'
34'
Succar M.
Assist: Cabello C.
46'
46'
Sub
Alzugaray L. In: Guivin Tanta J.
Out: Alzugaray L.
63'
63'
Sub
Rivera J. In: Lapadula G.
Out: Rivera J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Cienciano and Universitario de Deportes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cienciano come out ahead of Universitario de Deportes on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cienciano | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cienciano
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cienciano
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cienciano
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cienciano Compare
Top Goalscorer Succar M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garces C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cienciano 41 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cienciano Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Cienciano scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Cienciano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cienciano VS Universitario de Deportes
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cienciano
(Home) 08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 3
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3 Universitario de Deportes
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
