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Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciliverghe Mazzano play Sangiuliano City in the Serie D - Group B 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ciliverghe Mazzano averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Sangiuliano City averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Ciliverghe Mazzano won 1, Sangiuliano City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Ciliverghe Mazzano and 1.30 for Sangiuliano City. This points to a Sangiuliano City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
22%
Draws
51%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sangiuliano City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano picked up more points recently compared to Sangiuliano City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 19%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciliverghe Mazzano Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Sangiuliano City
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Avitabile T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scidone G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tremolada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 28 / 100
Sangiuliano City 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciliverghe Mazzano Sangiuliano City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sangiuliano City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ciliverghe Mazzano attacking → ← attacking Sangiuliano City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sangiuliano City let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ciliverghe Mazzano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sangiuliano City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ospitaletto382112566:3475
2Pro Palazzolo382010869:3670
3Desenzano Calvina381912751:2969
4USD Casatese381911858:3468
5Folgore Caratese382081066:4268
6Varesina381713861:4464
7Chievo381691349:3757
8Pro Sesto3813131245:4352
9Club Milano381471744:5049
10Sant'Angelo3811151241:4148
11Sondrio3812111539:5147
12Breno3811141342:5347
13Castellanzese3810161243:5346
14Vigasio3811121539:4145
15Sangiuliano City3811121539:4645
16Crema3811111648:5744
17Magenta388121833:5336
18Fanfulla386141828:5732
19Ciliverghe Mazzano387102141:7031
20Arconatese387102133:6431