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Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Colima FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Silva O.
45' Event
Solorzano E.
50' Event
Sanchez C.

AI Match Summary

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cimarrones de Sonora 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
15%
Draws
21%
Colima FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have won more games recently than Colima FC.
  • Win probability leans Cimarrones de Sonora 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Colima FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Colima FC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Colima FC
2:1
Nov 4, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Colima FC
0:1
Mar 6, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Colima FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solorzano E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Colima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 95 / 100
Colima FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Colima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colima FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Home)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

Colima FC

(Away)
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3
Colima FC
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0
Colima FC
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0
Colima FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)