Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Correcaminos 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Sat, Mar 23, 2024
3 - 4
01:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Talavera J.
35' Event
Rodriguez J.
49' Event
Rubli G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Cimarrones de Sonora 2 and Correcaminos 2 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Correcaminos 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
15%
Draws
31%
Correcaminos 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Correcaminos 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cimarrones de Sonora 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Correcaminos 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Correcaminos 2
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Correcaminos 2
3:4
Oct 20, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:1
Jan 22, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:2
Sep 25, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Correcaminos 2
3:0
Apr 4, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Talavera J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molina P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Correcaminos 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubli G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 95 / 100
Correcaminos 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Correcaminos 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cimarrones de Sonora 2's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Correcaminos 2 conceded in 68% of 40 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cimarrones de Sonora 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Correcaminos 2
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Home)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

Correcaminos 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Correcaminos 2
3 : 1
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
30 Sept
Correcaminos 2
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
27 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 0
Correcaminos 2
19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1
Zapotlanejo
12 Sept
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
2 : 0
Correcaminos 2
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)