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Cimarrones de Sonora vs Colima FC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Cimarrones de Sonora Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora

2 - 0
FT
Colima FC Logo

Colima FC

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Encinas R.
85' Event
Rodriguez N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Cimarrones de Sonora and Colima FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cimarrones de Sonora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cimarrones de Sonora
35%
Draws
26%
Colima FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cimarrones de Sonora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cimarrones de Sonora Clean Sheet 68%
Colima FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora Colima FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.73 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Colima FC
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cimarrones de Sonora Compare

Top Goalscorer Encinas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Colima FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 77 / 100
Colima FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora Colima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cimarrones de Sonora's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Colima FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cimarrones de Sonora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Colima FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cimarrones de Sonora VS Colima FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora

(Home)
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
23 Apr
Celaya
2 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4
Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6

Colima FC

(Away)
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3
Colima FC
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0
Colima FC
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0
Colima FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)