Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cinderford Town vs Thatcham

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Thatcham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cinderford Town
15%
Draws
85%
Thatcham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thatcham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thatcham haven't matched Cinderford Town's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cinderford Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Thatcham, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cinderford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Thatcham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinderford Town Thatcham
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2022 FA Trophy
Cinderford Town vs Thatcham
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 FA Trophy
Cinderford Town vs Thatcham
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinderford Town 30 / 100
Thatcham 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinderford Town Thatcham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thatcham has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Thatcham has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Cinderford Town scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cinderford Town VS Thatcham
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinderford Town

(Home)
05 Jul
Cinderford Town
0 : 4
Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Sept
Falmouth Town
3 : 0
Cinderford Town
27 Jul
Cinderford Town
0 : 2
Highworth
20 Jul
Cinderford Town
1 : 2
Aberystwyth
13 Sept
Cinderford Town
0 : 1
Thatcham
Page 1 of 6

Thatcham

(Away)
17 Sept
Thatcham
1 : 2
Evesham
09 Sept
Thatcham
2 : 3
Bristol Manor Farm
29 Jul
Thatcham
0 : 3
Hungerford
15 Jul
Thatcham
0 : 2
Maidenhead
24 Sept
Thatcham
0 : 3
AFC Dunstable
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Trafford 1
Hebburn Town 2
Witton Albion 3
Stockton 4
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Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
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Bootle -
Grimsby Borough -
Mossley AFC 1
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 7
Tadcaster Albion 0
Widnes FC 2
Skelmersdale 1
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Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
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Bridlington Town 1
Colne 2
Shildon 1
Consett 2
North Shields 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Sheffield FC 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ossett United 3
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Glossop North End 1
Clitheroe 2
1874 Northwich 1
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Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
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Coleshill Town 3
Neots 2
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Leek Town -
Stratford -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
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Aylesbury United 0
Evesham 3
Sholing 0
Lymington 1
Gainsborough -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 2
Gresley 0
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Corby 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cleethorpes 1
Brighouse Town 0
Worksop 2
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Daventry 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Carlton Town 2
Hanley Town 0
Wroxham 4
East Grinstead Town 1
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 2
Nuneaton -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Hinckley LR 4
Cambridge City 4
Yaxley 1
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Kempston 0
Dereham 1
Newcastle Town 0
Spalding United 2
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Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 4
Sporting Khalsa 3
Stamford 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Grantham Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 5
Biggleswade FC 2
Barton 0
Chatham 1
Bury Town 1
Stowmarket Town 2
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Bedworth United 0
Harborough 1
Shepshed 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Lancing 1
Cray Valley 4
East Thurrock Utd 3
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Great Wakering 1
Harlow 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ashford Town 3
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Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
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Welwyn Garden 1
New Salamis FC 2
Gorleston 1
Coggeshall Town 2
South Park 1
Sittingbourne 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Burgess Hill 3
Northwood 0
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 1
Ramsgate 0
Hendon -
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Thame United 2
Westbury United 0
Marlow 0
Binfield 4
Haringey Borough -
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Brightlingsea -
Chertsey Town 1
Uxbridge 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Hashtag 2
Walton & Hersham 3
Leatherhead 1
Haywards Heath 0
Southall FC 1
Ashford United 4
Sudbury 3
Three Bridges 3
Hullbridge 2
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Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
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Cray Wanderers -
VCD Athletic 0
Grays 3
Merstham 3
Hythe 0
Romania 2
Westfield 1
Chichester City 0
Faversham 1
Horsham FC -
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Aveley -
Billericay -
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Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 1
Brentwood 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Ware 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
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Hadley 1
Sevenoaks 2
Sheppey United 3
Hertford Town 4
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Beckenham Town 1
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Folkestone -
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Tooting & Mitcham 0
Corinthian 1
Tilbury 1
Whitehawk 2
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Slimbridge 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Exmouth Town 0
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Kidlington 0
Tavistock 1
Didcot 2
Hamworthy United 1
Bashley 4
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 0
Melksham 2
Swindon Supermarine -
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Basingstoke 3
Cirencester 5
Highworth 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Wimborne 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Willand Rovers 0
Bideford 3
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Semi-finals
Nantwich -
TBD -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
TBD -
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Radcliffe -
Hebburn Town 3
Stockton 1
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Bootle 0
Dunston 3
Macclesfield 5
Widnes FC 1
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
Colne 1
Consett 0
North Shields 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett United 2
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Clitheroe 4
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 4
Leek Town 5
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
Evesham 1
Lymington 0
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Long Eaton 0
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Prescot Cables 1
Worksop 3
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Carlton Town 1
Wroxham 5
Lowestoft 1
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Hinckley LR 1
Cambridge City 0
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Dereham 0
Spalding United 1
TBD -
Stafford -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 0
Chatham 0
Stowmarket Town 1
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Harborough 2
Shepshed 1
Bedford -
TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
TBD -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Cray Valley 5
East Thurrock Utd 3
Harlow 4
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
New Salamis FC 3
Coggeshall Town 0
Sittingbourne 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 2
Hendon -
TBD -
Thame United 1
Binfield 2
Haringey Borough -
TBD -
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Brightlingsea -
Uxbridge 2
Bedfont Sports 0
Walton & Hersham 4
Southall FC 0
Ashford United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
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Cray Wanderers -
Grays 4
Merstham 1
Romania 2
Faversham 3
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
FC Witham Town 2
Ware 1
Thatcham 0
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
TBD -
Sevenoaks 3
Hertford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Heybridge 2
Chipstead 1
Folkestone -
TBD -
Corinthian 2
Whitehawk 4
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
TBD -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
AFC Totton 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Tavistock 1
Didcot 0
Bashley 2
Melksham 3
Swindon Supermarine -
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Cirencester 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Bideford 2
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Final
Nantwich 0
Warrington Rylands 2
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Hebburn Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 0
Dunston 1
Macclesfield 6
Bamber Bridge 1
Hyde 2
Colne 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ossett United 1
Guiseley 3
Whitby 1
Morpeth 2
Lancaster 3
United of Manchester 0
Liversedge 1
Stalybridge 1
South Shields 2
Clitheroe 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
Leek Town 3
Stratford 1
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Evesham 0
Gainsborough 3
Barwell 1
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Worksop 2
Coalville Town 4
Ilkeston 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Wroxham 3
Nuneaton 2
Hinckley LR 0
Needham Market 0
Stourbridge 1
Hitchin 0
Redditch 3
Spalding United 1
Stafford 2
Belper Town 2
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Tamworth 4
Bromsgrove 0
Chasetown 3
Matlock 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stowmarket Town 2
Mickleover 1
Basford Utd. 2
Harborough 1
Bedford 0
Alvechurch 3
Rushall 3
Hednesford 4
Carshalton 3
Cray Valley 2
Harlow 3
Hornchurch 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
New Salamis FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Hendon 0
Binfield 1
Haringey Borough 1
Brightlingsea 0
Uxbridge 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Ashford United 1
Kings Langley 2
Hanwell Town 3
Cray Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 4
Aveley 3
Billericay 2
Margate 0
Beaconsfield Town 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Hastings 1
FC Witham Town 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 0
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Harrow Borough 3
Herne Bay 1
Stortford 2
Enfield Town 0
Chesham 4
Potters 0
Heybridge 2
Folkestone 2
Whitehawk 1
Kingstonian 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Bognor Regis 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Canvey Island 1
Bracknell Town 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Merthyr Town 0
AFC Totton 1
Truro 1
Salisbury 0
Yate 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Tavistock 3
Melksham 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Cirencester 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gosport Borough 0
North Leigh 4
Tiverton 3
Winchester City 2
Poole Town 0
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