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Cinfaes vs FC Alpendorada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cinfaes host FC Alpendorada in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Cinfaes at 1.3 goals for, 0.93 against; FC Alpendorada at 1.52 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Cinfaes slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.13) back Cinfaes to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cinfaes
20%
Draws
44%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • FC Alpendorada have won more games recently than Cinfaes.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 20%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Cinfaes
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs FC Alpendorada
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs FC Alpendorada
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Cinfaes
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 Taça de Portugal
FC Alpendorada vs Cinfaes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 32 / 100
FC Alpendorada 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes FC Alpendorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Alpendorada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cinfaes found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Alpendorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Cinfaes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS FC Alpendorada
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2
Cinfaes
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 6

FC Alpendorada

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
8 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)