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Cipolletti vs Alvarado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio La Visera de Cemento, Cipolletti
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cipolletti at 1.21 goals for, 0.9 against; Alvarado at 1.17 for, 0.66 against. Past meetings favor Cipolletti slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Alvarado. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cipolletti
30%
Draws
31%
Alvarado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cipolletti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cipolletti haven't matched Alvarado's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Cipolletti taking it.
  • Alvarado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cipolletti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Cipolletti Clean Sheet 20%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cipolletti Alvarado
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
Cipolletti vs Alvarado
1:0
Nov 2, 2018 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Cipolletti
1:1
Sep 15, 2018 Torneo Federal
Cipolletti vs Alvarado
0:1
Nov 29, 2017 Torneo Federal
Cipolletti vs Alvarado
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Cipolletti
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cipolletti 67 / 100
Alvarado 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cipolletti Alvarado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cipolletti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cipolletti's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Cipolletti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alvarado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cipolletti VS Alvarado
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cipolletti

(Home)
04 Oct
Cipolletti
6 : 1
Sol de America
27 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 0
Cipolletti
19 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2
Cipolletti
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
Cipolletti
Page 1 of 6

Alvarado

(Away)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2
Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa -
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -
Alvarado -
Cipolletti -
Final
TBD -
TBD -