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Cirbonero vs CD Corellano

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between Cirbonero and CD Corellano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cirbonero
20%
Draws
44%
CD Corellano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CD Corellano haven't matched Cirbonero's recent run of results.
  • Cirbonero are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cirbonero here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 68%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirbonero CD Corellano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Corellano
2:0
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Cirbonero
0:1
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Corellano
3:1
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Cirbonero
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Corellano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirbonero 50 / 100
CD Corellano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirbonero CD Corellano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Corellano conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Cirbonero scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cirbonero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cirbonero VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirbonero

(Home)
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Huarte
2 : 0
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 7

CD Corellano

(Away)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)