Sport Picks
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Guayaquil City
Ecuador
Serie B 2013 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guayaquil City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Guayaquil City have won more games recently than Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios.
- Model gives Guayaquil City a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Guayaquil City have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 20%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios | Guayaquil City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 26, 2013 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
2:0
Sep 25, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Guayaquil City
1:1
Jun 8, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Guayaquil City
1:2
Mar 23, 2013 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 10 / 100
Guayaquil City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Guayaquil City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Guayaquil City has conceded goals in 65% of their last 37 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Guayaquil City
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
(Home) 24 Nov
Aucas
5 : 1 Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
17 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 3 Deportivo Municipal
13 Nov
CSCD Grecia
1 : 1 Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
09 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 1 Olmedo
02 Nov
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Page 1 of 6
17 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 3 Deportivo Municipal
09 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 1 Olmedo
19 Oct
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
3 : 1 Dep. Azogues
06 Oct
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1 : 1 Univ. Cotopaxi
25 Sept
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 3
Guayaquil City
(Away) 27 Jul
Guayaquil City
0 : 0 U. Catolica
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
19 Jul
Guayaquil City
1 : 0 Manta
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
11 Jul
Guayaquil City
2 : 1 Delfin
Page 1 of 8
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
08 Jul
Aucas
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
23 May
Mushuc Runa
2 : 2 Guayaquil City
14 May
Astillero
2 : 1 Guayaquil City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olmedo | 44 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 76:43 | 92 |
| 2 | Mushuc Runa | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 52:44 | 81 |
| 3 | Imbabura | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 63:47 | 74 |
| 4 | Aucas | 44 | 21 | 6 | 17 | 69:53 | 69 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 57:43 | 68 |
| 6 | Tecnico U. | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 60:53 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Municipal | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 48:60 | 56 |
| 8 | Espoli | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 44:55 | 49 |
| 9 | Univ. Cotopaxi | 44 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 48:57 | 48 |
| 10 | Dep. Azogues | 44 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 49:70 | 46 |
| 11 | CSCD Grecia | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 44:64 | 45 |
| 12 | Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 47:68 | 37 |
Promotion - Serie A 2014 (First stage)
