Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cirencester vs Basingstoke

England England

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Basingstoke advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cirencester
15%
Draws
49%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basingstoke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Cirencester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Basingstoke are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cirencester have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Basingstoke, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cirencester Clean Sheet 16%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirencester Basingstoke
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2022 FA Trophy
Basingstoke vs Cirencester
3:5
Oct 12, 2019 FA Trophy
Cirencester vs Basingstoke
2:3
Jan 28, 2017 Southern Premier League
Cirencester vs Basingstoke
2:3
Sep 27, 2016 Southern Premier League
Basingstoke vs Cirencester
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirencester 10 / 100
Basingstoke 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirencester Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Cirencester's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Basingstoke's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cirencester VS Basingstoke
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirencester

(Home)
22 Jul
Cirencester
2 : 4
Swindon Supermarine
23 Jul
Cirencester
0 : 5
Gloucester City
09 Sept
Frome Town
3 : 1
Cirencester
08 Oct
Swindon Supermarine
3 : 0
Cirencester
24 Sept
Cirencester
3 : 2
Paulton Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3
Basingstoke
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Bath City
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2
Basingstoke
11 Aug
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4
Evesham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Evesham -
TBD -
Dereham 1
Halesowen 2
Belper Town -
TBD -
Stamford 5
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Grantham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushall -
Carlton Town 3
Neots 1
Biggleswade FC 2
Bedford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cleethorpes 1
Frickley 0
TBD -
Mossley AFC -
Sutton Coldfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Yaxley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
Kendal -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
Corby -
Daventry 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Kempston 0
FC Wisbech Town 1
Ramsbottom Utd -
TBD -
Colne 2
Marske United 1
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets 1
Marine 0
Pontefract Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
Glossop North End -
Clitheroe 2
Sheffield FC 1
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Pickering Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Nantwich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Newcastle Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Chasetown 5
Spalding United 1
TBD -
Coleshill Town -
City Of Liverpool 2
Tadcaster Albion 7
TBD -
Brighouse Town -
Droylsden -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Dunston -
TBD -
Ossett United 1
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Lancaster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Barking -
TBD -
TBD -
Guernsey FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Sittingbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
South Park -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Tooting & Mitcham -
Haringey Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Chipstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Romania -
Ashford Town -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 1
Canvey Island 4
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Mangotsfield 1
Slimbridge 2
TBD -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Brightlingsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Ramsgate 2
Haywards Heath 3
Bracknell Town 2
Coggeshall Town 1
Aylesbury United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevenoaks -
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Thurrock Utd -
Great Wakering -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
Basildon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesham -
Hornchurch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Herne Bay -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
East Grinstead Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton Casuals -
VCD Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Harlow 2
Hanwell Town 5
TBD -
AFC Dunstable -
Hythe -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Romford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merstham -
Winchester City -
TBD -
Thame United 3
Kidlington 2
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bideford -
Marlow -
TBD -
Faversham 1
Chertsey Town 3
Sholing -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 7
Moneyfields 1
Ashford United -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Witham Town -
Hullbridge 2
Barton 4
Chichester City 2
Three Bridges 1
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackfield & Langley -
Kingstonian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Felixstowe & Walton 0
TBD -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soham -
TBD -
Lincoln Utd. 1
Bury Town 3
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedfont Sports -
Paulton Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Willand Rovers -
Didcot -
TBD -
TBD -
Larkhall -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Thatcham -
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Melksham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wantage -
Cirencester -
TBD -
Basingstoke 4
North Leigh 3
Highworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Staines -
TBD -
Heybridge 4
Hertford Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Cambridge City -
TBD -
TBD -
Market Drayton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chalfont St Peter 0
Whitstable Town 1
TBD -
Ware -
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Waltham Abbey -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedworth United -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Quarter-finals
Evesham 1
Halesowen 4
Belper Town 0
Stamford 3
Grantham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushall -
Carlton Town 3
Bedford 2
TBD -
Matlock -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Morpeth -
TBD -
Cleethorpes -
Mossley AFC -
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Yaxley 1
TBD -
Stafford -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Whitby -
TBD -
Worksop 2
Kendal 1
Stalybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Redditch -
TBD -
Histon 1
Corby 4
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
FC Wisbech Town 0
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Colne 3
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford 0
Runcorn Linnets 3
Pontefract Collieries 2
Glossop North End 0
Clitheroe 0
Prescot Cables 3
Pickering Town 4
Stocksbridge 2
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Nantwich -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Newcastle Town 2
Leek Town 5
Chasetown 3
Coleshill Town 0
Tadcaster Albion -
Brighouse Town -
Droylsden 2
Workington 4
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Dunston 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Lancaster -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Barking 2
Guernsey FC 1
TBD -
Margate -
Sittingbourne 1
South Park 0
Whyteleafe 1
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Haringey Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Chipstead 2
Romania 1
Ashford Town 2
Canvey Island 7
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Slimbridge 0
AFC Totton 1
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Brightlingsea -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Haywards Heath 2
Bracknell Town 1
Aylesbury United 6
Sevenoaks 4
Uxbridge 4
Northwood 1
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
East Thurrock Utd -
Great Wakering 3
Westfield 5
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney -
Brentwood 2
Basildon 3
TBD -
Chesham -
Hornchurch -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town 5
Herne Bay 0
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
East Grinstead Town 0
Aveley 5
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton Casuals -
VCD Athletic 1
Sudbury 4
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Hanwell Town 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Hythe 1
Hastings 2
Whitehawk 2
Romford 1
TBD -
Hendon -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
Merstham -
Winchester City 6
Thame United 8
Frome Town 2
Bideford 1
Marlow 1
Chertsey Town 0
Sholing 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Ashford United 4
FC Witham Town 2
Barton 4
Chichester City 2
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackfield & Langley -
Kingstonian -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Cray Valley 2
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Burgess Hill 0
Phoenix Sports 2
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
Soham 3
Bury Town 0
Hitchin -
TBD -
Grays 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Paulton Rovers -
Willand Rovers -
Didcot 0
Larkhall 2
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town 1
Thatcham 3
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Melksham 2
Wantage 0
Cirencester 2
Basingstoke 3
Highworth 2
Cinderford Town 3
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Staines 0
Heybridge 2
TBD -
Potters -
Cambridge City 2
Market Drayton 1
TBD -
Needham Market -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Ware 3
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
Tilbury 6
Waltham Abbey 2
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
Bedworth United 3
Ilkeston 1
Semi-finals
Halesowen 5
Stamford 2
Grantham Town 5
Rushall 3
Carlton Town 1
Matlock 2
Warrington Town 0
Ashton United 1
Atherton Collieries 3
Scarborough Athletic 2
Morpeth 6
Cleethorpes 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Stafford 1
Stratford 1
Hednesford 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Alvechurch 0
Whitby 4
Worksop 1
Stalybridge 0
South Shields 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Banbury 1
Bromsgrove 2
Barwell 7
Redditch 4
Corby 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Colne 1
Buxton 3
Hyde 2
Runcorn Linnets 5
Pontefract Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 3
Pickering Town 0
Radcliffe 0
United of Manchester 2
Basford Utd. 3
Mickleover 0
Nantwich 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Lowestoft 2
Coalville Town 4
Leek Town 2
Chasetown 0
Tadcaster Albion 0
Workington 1
Tamworth 4
Leiston 0
Dunston 0
Gainsborough 4
Stourbridge 2
Nuneaton 1
Lancaster 1
Witton Albion 0
Barking 0
Margate 2
Sittingbourne 0
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Haringey Borough 3
Horsham FC 0
Chipstead 4
Canvey Island 5
Yate 7
Tiverton 6
AFC Totton 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Brightlingsea 1
Royston Town 2
Haywards Heath 3
Aylesbury United 1
Uxbridge 1
Bognor Regis 3
Cheshunt 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Westfield 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Poole Town 0
Hartley Wintney 1
Basildon 5
Chesham 3
Hornchurch 3
Berkhamsted Town 1
Wimborne 3
Taunton Town 6
Aveley 3
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Worthing FC 2
Walton Casuals 1
Sudbury 2
Harrow Borough 0
AFC Dunstable 0
Hastings 4
Whitehawk 4
Hendon 1
Carshalton 3
Merstham 1
Thame United 1
Frome Town 2
Marlow 0
Sholing 2
Ashford United 1
Barton 2
Truro 2
Blackfield & Langley 4
Kingstonian 4
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Cray Wanderers 0
Folkestone 2
Lewes 0
Salisbury 6
Dorchester 3
Phoenix Sports 3
Kings Langley 5
Wingate & Finchley 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
St Ives Town 0
Soham 3
Hitchin 2
Bedfont Sports 3
Paulton Rovers 4
Larkhall 2
Stortford 3
Enfield Town 5
Swindon Supermarine 1
Thatcham 4
Gosport Borough 3
Farnborough 1
Melksham 1
Basingstoke 0
Cinderford Town 7
Merthyr Town 6
Heybridge 1
Potters 2
Cambridge City 0
Needham Market 3
Leatherhead 3
Ware 0
Metropolitan Police 4
Tilbury 3
Biggleswade Town 2
Bedworth United 1
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
TBD -
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Final
Halesowen 2
Grantham Town 1
Matlock 1
Ashton United 0
Atherton Collieries 2
Morpeth 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Hednesford 5
Peterborough Sports 2
Whitby 0
South Shields 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Barwell 5
Redditch 6
Colne 3
Buxton 1
Runcorn Linnets 3
Prescot Cables 2
United of Manchester 3
Basford Utd. 1
Nantwich 0
Coalville Town 1
Leek Town 1
Workington 3
Tamworth 3
Gainsborough 5
Stourbridge 4
Lancaster 3
Margate 0
Tooting & Mitcham 4
Haringey Borough 2
Canvey Island 1
Yate 6
AFC Totton 3
Royston Town 7
Haywards Heath 0
Bognor Regis 3
East Thurrock Utd 1
Westfield 2
Hartley Wintney 3
Basildon 1
Hornchurch 6
Taunton Town 4
Aveley 5
Worthing FC 1
Sudbury 4
Hastings 4
Whitehawk 3
Carshalton 5
Frome Town 3
Sholing 2
Barton 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
Kingstonian 3
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Folkestone 3
Salisbury 2
Kings Langley 1
Hayes & Yeading 4
Soham 2
Bedfont Sports 0
Paulton Rovers 5
Enfield Town 5
Thatcham 0
Gosport Borough 4
Melksham 2
Cinderford Town 1
Potters 0
Needham Market 1
Leatherhead 2
Metropolitan Police 2
Biggleswade Town 3