Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciserano-Bergamo vs AC Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo host AC Leon in the Serie D - Group B. AC Leon are expected to control this from the start. AC Leon have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Ciserano-Bergamo have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Ciserano-Bergamo have won 2 to AC Leon's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back AC Leon to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ciserano-Bergamo
30%
Draws
47%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AC Leon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 20%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo AC Leon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs AC Leon
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs AC Leon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 24 / 100
AC Leon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Leon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

AC Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ciserano-Bergamo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS AC Leon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
11 Oct
Nibbiano & Valtidone
4 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
Page 1 of 6

AC Leon

(Away)
11 Oct
AC Leon
3 : 0
Pavonese
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)