Sport Picks
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Castellanzese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Testa C.
24'
24'
Guerrisi A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Ciserano-Bergamo have won more games recently than Castellanzese.
- Win probability leans Ciserano-Bergamo's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 20%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciserano-Bergamo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Castellanzese
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
3:1
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:0
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Castellanzese
2:1
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Castellanzese
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Testa C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Castellanzese Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerrisi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciserano-Bergamo 36 / 100
Castellanzese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciserano-Bergamo Castellanzese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Castellanzese has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Ciserano-Bergamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ciserano-Bergamo VS Castellanzese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciserano-Bergamo
(Home) 12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
02 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 2 Varesina
22 Mar
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 3
Castellanzese
(Away) 12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
26 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 3 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
02 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Castellanzese
22 Mar
Pavia
1 : 0 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
