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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Vogherese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Viscardi D.
11' Event
Marin M.
16' Event
Fornari M.

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ciserano-Bergamo
30%
Draws
0%
Vogherese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo have won more games recently than Vogherese.
  • Ciserano-Bergamo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Vogherese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Vogherese
6:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrario C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Viscardi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vogherese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzola G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 95 / 100
Vogherese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Vogherese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vogherese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vogherese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS Vogherese
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6

Vogherese

(Away)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)