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Ciserano vs Aurora Seriate

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Ciserano and Aurora Seriate finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ciserano
15%
Draws
59%
Aurora Seriate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora Seriate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurora Seriate come out ahead of Ciserano on wins alone.
  • Aurora Seriate are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 21%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano Aurora Seriate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Aurora Seriate
2:1
Sep 17, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Ciserano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano 10 / 100
Aurora Seriate 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano Aurora Seriate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Seriate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Aurora Seriate has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ciserano went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano

(Home)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
Page 1 of 7

Aurora Seriate

(Away)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)