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Ciserano vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pro Sesto in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ciserano
15%
Draws
57%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pro Sesto lately — more wins on the board than Ciserano.
  • Model gives Pro Sesto a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Pro Sesto
3:4
Nov 25, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Ciserano
3:0
Mar 2, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Ciserano
5:1
Nov 1, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Pro Sesto
1:0
Feb 22, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Pro Sesto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ciserano scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Pro Sesto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pro Sesto has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pro Sesto
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano

(Home)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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Pro Sesto

(Away)
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1
Pro Sesto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)