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Citizen vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2013/2014
Citizen Logo

Citizen

2 - 1
FT
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Citizen in this Division 1 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Citizen
15%
Draws
51%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Pegasus have won more games recently than Citizen.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citizen Pegasus
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Premier League
Citizen vs Pegasus
2:1
Jan 4, 2014 Premier League
Pegasus vs Citizen
0:1
Apr 12, 2013 Premier League
Pegasus vs Citizen
0:0
Oct 1, 2012 Premier League
Citizen vs Pegasus
2:1
Mar 17, 2012 Premier League
Pegasus vs Citizen
6:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citizen 49 / 100
Pegasus 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citizen Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Citizen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pegasus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.

Recent resilience: Citizen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pegasus
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Citizen

(Home)
11 May
South China
3 : 2
Citizen
04 May
Citizen
2 : 1
Pegasus
19 Apr
Citizen
2 : 1
Southern District
12 Apr
Southern District
1 : 0
Citizen
06 Apr
Dreams Metro Gallery
3 : 2
Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 15 3 0 47:12 48
2 Pegasus 18 10 2 6 40:28 32
3 South China 18 8 8 2 35:24 32
4 Southern District 18 5 6 7 25:32 21
5 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 6 7 23:32 21
6 Eastern AA 18 5 6 7 34:37 21
7 Yuen Long 18 5 5 8 25:33 20
8 Sunray Cave 18 5 4 9 32:41 19
9 Citizen 18 4 6 8 25:33 18
10 Dreams Metro Gallery 18 3 4 11 25:39 13
11 Tuen Mun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Happy Valley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup 2014 (Main)
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Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)