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Citizen vs Sunray Cave

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2013/2014 game between Citizen and Sunray Cave finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunray Cave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Citizen
15%
Draws
34%
Sunray Cave
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sunray Cave come out ahead of Citizen on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
Sunray Cave Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citizen Sunray Cave
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2014 Premier League
Citizen vs Sunray Cave
3:4
Sep 14, 2013 Premier League
Sunray Cave vs Citizen
1:1
Feb 1, 2013 Premier League
Citizen vs Sunray Cave
1:2
Dec 20, 2012 Premier League
Sunray Cave vs Citizen
1:1
May 14, 2005 Premier League
Citizen vs Sunray Cave
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citizen 29 / 100
Sunray Cave 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citizen Sunray Cave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunray Cave's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Citizen scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sunray Cave's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Citizen VS Sunray Cave
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Citizen

(Home)
11 May
South China
3 : 2
Citizen
04 May
Citizen
2 : 1
Pegasus
19 Apr
Citizen
2 : 1
Southern District
12 Apr
Southern District
1 : 0
Citizen
06 Apr
Dreams Metro Gallery
3 : 2
Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Sunray Cave

(Away)
11 May
Sunray Cave
2 : 3
Southern District
06 May
Sunray Cave
0 : 0
South China
20 Apr
Sunray Cave
1 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
05 Apr
Sunray Cave
0 : 2
Kitchee
30 Mar
Dreams Metro Gallery
1 : 3
Sunray Cave
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 15 3 0 47:12 48
2 Pegasus 18 10 2 6 40:28 32
3 South China 18 8 8 2 35:24 32
4 Southern District 18 5 6 7 25:32 21
5 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 6 7 23:32 21
6 Eastern AA 18 5 6 7 34:37 21
7 Yuen Long 18 5 5 8 25:33 20
8 Sunray Cave 18 5 4 9 32:41 19
9 Citizen 18 4 6 8 25:33 18
10 Dreams Metro Gallery 18 3 4 11 25:39 13
11 Tuen Mun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Happy Valley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)