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Citta di Anagni vs Paganese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Citta di Anagni host Paganese in the Serie D - Group G. Little to choose between these two on current form. Paganese have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Citta di Anagni have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.29. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.25 - 1.81) back Paganese to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Citta di Anagni
15%
Draws
20%
Paganese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Citta di Anagni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paganese lately — more wins on the board than Citta di Anagni.
  • Win probability leans Citta di Anagni's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Citta di Anagni Clean Sheet 68%
Paganese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citta di Anagni Paganese
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Anagni 95 / 100
Paganese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citta di Anagni Paganese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Citta di Anagni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Citta di Anagni scored in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Defensive concern: Paganese conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Citta di Anagni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Paganese registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Citta di Anagni VS Paganese
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Citta di Anagni

(Home)
18 Oct
Sarnese
1 : 0
Citta di Anagni
11 Oct
Citta di Anagni
3 : 1
Gelbison
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
Page 1 of 5

Paganese

(Away)
18 Oct
US Venafro
1 : 0
Paganese
11 Oct
Paganese
3 : 0
Budoni Calcio
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)