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Stadium Background

Citta di Fasano vs A.C. Savoia

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 22, 2025
4 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Matheus Reis
45' Event
Bayo I.
Own Goal
57' Event
Caballero J.

AI Match Summary

Citta di Fasano in this Coppa Italia Serie D matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Citta di Fasano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Citta di Fasano
20%
Draws
38%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • A.C. Savoia have won more games recently than Citta di Fasano.
  • Win probability leans Citta di Fasano's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Coppa Italia Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Citta di Fasano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 16%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citta di Fasano A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Citta di Fasano vs A.C. Savoia
4:3
Nov 13, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
A.C. Savoia vs Citta di Fasano
0:1
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group H
A.C. Savoia vs Citta di Fasano
2:1
Dec 19, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs A.C. Savoia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Antona C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corvino V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Reis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caballero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Fasano 41 / 100
A.C. Savoia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citta di Fasano A.C. Savoia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Citta di Fasano found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

A.C. Savoia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Citta di Fasano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Citta di Fasano VS A.C. Savoia
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0