Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025

Citta di Fasano

6 - 1

Matera

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Corvino V.

34'

Losavio F.

40'

Corvino V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Citta di Fasano in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Citta di Fasano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Citta di Fasano

33%

Draws

27%

Matera

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Citta di Fasano have won more games recently than Matera.
Win probability leans Citta di Fasano's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 68%

Matera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Citta di Fasano	Matera
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	7	10
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H

Citta di Fasano vs Matera

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

6:1

Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H

Matera vs Citta di Fasano

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group H

Matera vs Citta di Fasano

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group H

Citta di Fasano vs Matera

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group H

Matera vs Citta di Fasano

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer Corvino V.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Losavio F.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Giordani G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Fasano 50 / 100

Matera 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Citta di Fasano Matera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Citta di Fasano found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Citta di Fasano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Citta di Fasano VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Casarano	34	21	11	2	72:30	74
2	Nocerina	34	20	10	4	64:27	70
3	Martina Calcio	34	17	11	6	48:28	62
4	Fidelis Andria	34	16	9	9	41:29	57
5	Citta di Fasano	34	13	11	10	45:32	50
6	Matera	34	12	13	9	51:47	49
7	Virtus Francavilla	34	12	11	11	41:34	47
8	A.C.D. Nardo	34	13	8	13	47:45	47
9	Ischia	34	11	12	11	39:45	45
10	Palmese 1914	34	10	12	12	41:45	42
11	Gravina	34	11	9	14	43:46	42
12	Francavilla	34	11	8	15	28:34	41
13	Acerrana	34	11	8	15	37:50	41
14	ASD Ugento	34	10	7	17	33:51	37
15	Manfredonia	34	8	11	15	33:51	35
16	Brindisi	34	9	14	11	44:43	27
17	Angri	34	6	8	20	35:69	26
18	Costa Amalfi	34	3	11	20	26:62	20