Sport Picks
Cittadella vs Arzignano
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella 
Match Events
12'
12'
Rabbi S.
18'
18'
Rabbi S.
38'
38'
Bianchi N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arzignano have managed 1.34 goals a game lately — Cittadella are scoring more at 1.4.
- Win probability leans Arzignano's way, sitting at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Cittadella, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 15%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cittadella | Arzignano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Arzignano
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Cittadella
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Arzignano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Rabbi S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Arzignano Compare
Top Goalscorer Nanni N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bernardi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cittadella 27 / 100
Arzignano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cittadella Arzignano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arzignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cittadella found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Arzignano let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Cittadella has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cittadella VS Arzignano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Cittadella
(Home) 15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Ravenna
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0 Lumezzane
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Arzignano
(Away) 15 Aug
Arzignano
2 : 1 AlbinoLeffe
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0 Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1 Arzignano
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Arzignano
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1 Arzignano
28 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Arzignano
14 Mar
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Arzignano
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
