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Cittadella vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rabbi S.
9' Event
Bertoli M.
31'
Amatucci F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Cittadella and Ospitaletto finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cittadella
20%
Draws
40%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cittadella come out ahead of Ospitaletto on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ospitaletto a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 19%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Ospitaletto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Ospitaletto
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Cittadella
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertoli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gobbi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 28 / 100
Ospitaletto 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cittadella's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ospitaletto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Cittadella went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Ospitaletto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0
Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
14 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
08 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
05 Aug
Ospitaletto
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
01 Aug
Ospitaletto
5 : 1
Legnago Salus
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)