Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella vs Padova

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Caprari G.
43' Event
Carissoni L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cittadella and Padova finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cittadella
15%
Draws
27%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cittadella are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Padova
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Padova
0:2
Aug 11, 2019 Coppa Italia
Cittadella vs Padova
3:0
Mar 30, 2019 Serie B
Cittadella vs Padova
1:1
Nov 3, 2018 Serie B
Padova vs Cittadella
0:0
Feb 21, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Cittadella
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Caprari G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carissoni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 95 / 100
Padova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Cittadella has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Padova let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Padova
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Padova

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6