Sport Picks
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sasso Marconi
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
Caprioni L.
40'
40'
Arrondini D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Cittadella Vis Modena and Sasso Marconi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella Vis Modena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Cittadella Vis Modena carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cittadella Vis Modena here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Sasso Marconi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sasso Marconi
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sasso Marconi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cittadella Vis Modena Compare
Top Goalscorer Caprioni L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arrondini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sasso Marconi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cittadella Vis Modena 32 / 100
Sasso Marconi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cittadella Vis Modena Sasso Marconi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cittadella Vis Modena scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Sasso Marconi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cittadella Vis Modena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cittadella Vis Modena VS Sasso Marconi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cittadella Vis Modena
(Home) 01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Pro Palazzolo
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Pro Palazzolo
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
29 Mar
Cittadella Vis Modena
2 : 0 Sasso Marconi
01 Mar
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 1 Tropical Coriano
15 Feb
Cittadella Vis Modena
2 : 1 Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 3
Sasso Marconi
(Away) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Sasso Marconi
29 Mar
Cittadella Vis Modena
2 : 0 Sasso Marconi
15 Mar
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
