Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Bernal H.
68'
68'
Lorente Alvarez J. M.
70'
70'
Pujante D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Ciudad Cieza and Bala Azul finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Cieza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Cieza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ciudad Cieza carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ciudad Cieza's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ciudad Cieza have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 16%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad Cieza | Bala Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Bala Azul
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Ciudad Cieza
1:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Ciudad Cieza
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Bala Azul
2:1
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Bala Azul
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad Cieza Compare
Top Goalscorer Bernal H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lorente Alvarez J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Bala Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta Garrido I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad Cieza 39 / 100
Bala Azul 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad Cieza Bala Azul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciudad Cieza scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Bala Azul let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Ciudad Cieza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ciudad Cieza VS Bala Azul
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad Cieza
(Home) 19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0 Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
08 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
2 : 3 Valencia B
05 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 4 Murcia
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 4
Bala Azul
(Away) 20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
12 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 3 Bala Azul
28 Mar
Yeclano B
0 : 3 Bala Azul
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
