Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Lopez Moreno E.
19'
19'
Riquelme J.
Own Goal
48'
48'
Taulemesse F.
AI Match Summary
Ciudad Cieza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Cieza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ciudad Cieza have won more games recently than Santomera.
- Model gives Ciudad Cieza a 34% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 68%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad Cieza | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Santomera
5:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Ciudad Cieza
1:2
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Ciudad Cieza
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Santomera
1:5
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Ciudad Cieza
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad Cieza Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez Moreno E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taulemesse F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Santomera Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad Cieza 59 / 100
Santomera 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad Cieza Santomera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ciudad Cieza scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Santomera conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Ciudad Cieza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciudad Cieza VS Santomera
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad Cieza
(Home) 12 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
08 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
2 : 3 Valencia B
05 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 4 Murcia
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6 Ciudad Cieza
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
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12 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
08 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
2 : 3 Valencia B
05 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 4 Murcia
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
18 Apr
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
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Santomera
(Away) 10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1 Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3 Santomera
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1 Yeclano B
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0 Santomera
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10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1 Santomera
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3 Santomera
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0 Santomera
28 Mar
Aguilas FC B
2 : 0 Santomera
15 Mar
Mazarron FC
5 : 0 Santomera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
