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Ciudad de Lucena vs Dos Hermanas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Ciudad de Lucena Logo

Ciudad de Lucena

2 - 1
FT
Dos Hermanas Logo

Dos Hermanas

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Perez Cruz J. A.
56' Event
Cantarino Abelleira D.
67' Event
Vargas D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Lucena and Dos Hermanas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Lucena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ciudad de Lucena
30%
Draws
39%
Dos Hermanas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dos Hermanas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dos Hermanas come out ahead of Ciudad de Lucena on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dos Hermanas a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 19%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Dos Hermanas
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 19 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.87 2.35
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Dos Hermanas
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs Ciudad de Lucena
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Cruz J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantarino Abelleira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dos Hermanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 10 / 100
Dos Hermanas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Dos Hermanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dos Hermanas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lucena's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Dos Hermanas has conceded goals in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Ciudad de Lucena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS Dos Hermanas
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 2.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1
Dos Hermanas
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Dos Hermanas

(Away)
20 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 1
Linense
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
09 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
0 : 9
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)