Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Lucena vs Pozoblanco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Molina M.
42' Event
Perez Cruz J. A.
55' Event
Leon M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Lucena and Pozoblanco finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Lucena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Ciudad de Lucena
30%
Draws
14%
Pozoblanco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad de Lucena come out ahead of Pozoblanco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ciudad de Lucena a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
Pozoblanco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Pozoblanco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Pozoblanco
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs Ciudad de Lucena
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Pozoblanco
2:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Pozoblanco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez Cruz J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Pozoblanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diawara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 95 / 100
Pozoblanco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Pozoblanco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lucena scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pozoblanco let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ciudad de Lucena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS Pozoblanco
3 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1
Dos Hermanas
03 May
Cadiz B
3 : 0
Ciudad de Lucena
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0
Tomares UD
18 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Bollullos
12 Apr
Sevilla C
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
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Pozoblanco

(Away)
10 May
Pozoblanco
2 : 2
Cordoba B
03 May
Chiclana
0 : 0
Pozoblanco
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Pozoblanco
12 Apr
Pozoblanco
1 : 1
CD Utrera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)