Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024

Ciudad de Murcia

1 - 1

Balsicas Atletico

Our Tip

Match Events

50'

Lloret F.

60'

Velgas M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Ciudad de Murcia and Balsicas Atletico finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ciudad de Murcia

44%

Draws

20%

Balsicas Atletico

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Balsicas Atletico come out ahead of Ciudad de Murcia on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 18%

Balsicas Atletico Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ciudad de Murcia	Balsicas Atletico
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	8	8
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Ciudad de Murcia vs Balsicas Atletico

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Balsicas Atletico vs Ciudad de Murcia

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloret F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Balsicas Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Velgas M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 36 / 100

Balsicas Atletico 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ciudad de Murcia Balsicas Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balsicas Atletico has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Ciudad de Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ciudad de Murcia's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Murcia VS Balsicas Atletico

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	34	24	6	4	53:19	78
2	Real Murcia B	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	Ciudad Cieza	34	19	11	4	44:24	68
4	UCAM Murcia B	34	19	5	10	42:24	62
5	Caravaca	34	18	7	9	60:32	61
6	Lorca Deportiva	34	17	8	9	64:30	59
7	Molinense	34	18	5	11	60:34	59
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	13	8	39:23	52
9	Muleno CF	34	12	7	15	37:42	43
10	Racing Murcia	34	11	7	16	36:51	40
11	Plus Ultra	34	12	2	20	43:56	38
12	E.G. El Palmar	34	9	9	16	33:52	36
13	Bullense	34	10	6	18	40:65	36
14	Balsicas Atletico	34	9	9	16	35:53	36
15	Alcantarilla	34	10	6	18	34:41	36
16	Ciudad de Murcia	34	7	9	18	28:43	30
17	CD Algar	34	7	8	19	31:65	29
18	Montecasillas	34	7	2	25	31:90	23