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Ciudad de Murcia vs Bullense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Tornel R.

AI Match Summary

Bullense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bullense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ciudad de Murcia
35%
Draws
24%
Bullense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciudad de Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad de Murcia haven't matched Bullense's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Murcia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Bullense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Murcia Bullense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Bullense
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:2
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Bullense
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:3
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bullense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tornel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 77 / 100
Bullense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Murcia Bullense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bullense let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ciudad de Murcia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Murcia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bullense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Murcia

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Bullense

(Away)
11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1
Bullense
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5
Santomera
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Bullense
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Bullense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)