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Ciudad de Murcia vs Racing Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Patino J.
67' Event
Sanchez P.
72' Event
Sanchez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Ciudad de Murcia and Racing Murcia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ciudad de Murcia
20%
Draws
0%
Racing Murcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad de Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Murcia come out ahead of Ciudad de Murcia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ciudad de Murcia a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 17%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Murcia Racing Murcia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Racing Murcia
3:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:1
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Racing Murcia
2:1
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Patino J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 84 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Murcia Racing Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Racing Murcia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Racing Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ciudad de Murcia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Murcia VS Racing Murcia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Murcia

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Racing Murcia

(Away)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)