Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

1 - 3

Motril

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Conejero M.

42'

Lopez A.

45'

Diaz A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Ciudad de Torredonjimeno and Motril finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

20%

Draws

38%

Motril

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Motril carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Ciudad de Torredonjimeno a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Clean Sheet 20%

Motril Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	Motril
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	12	13
Draws	8	13
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Motril

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Motril vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Motril vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Motril

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Motril

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diaz A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 / 100

Motril 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Motril

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Motril conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno VS Motril

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	46:24	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55:29	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37:26	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38:29	54
5	Churriana de la Vega	34	14	10	10	32:40	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36:28	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	39:38	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39:37	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41:39	46
10	Huetor Vega	34	12	9	13	43:42	45
11	Granada CF B	34	10	14	10	49:47	44
12	CD Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41:41	43
13	Melilla B	34	9	12	13	30:32	39
14	Mancha	34	9	10	15	30:38	37
15	Huetor Tajar	34	9	10	15	40:44	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	32:48	37
17	CD Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	24:45	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	28:53	27