Sport Picks
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Ciudad Lorca and Cartagena La Union finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena La Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagena La Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Cartagena La Union carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Cartagena La Union's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cartagena La Union have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 12%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad Lorca | Cartagena La Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 23 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 27 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca
7:0
Nov 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
1:3
May 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
1:4
Dec 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
Cartagena La Union 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad Lorca Cartagena La Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Defensive concern: Cartagena La Union conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Ciudad Lorca scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Cartagena La Union's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Cartagena La Union
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad Lorca
(Home) 17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0 Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8 Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0 Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7 Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0 Ciudad Lorca
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09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8 Deportivo Murcia
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7 Moratalla
08 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 3 Plus Ultra
28 Mar
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 4 Pinatar
19 Mar
Ciudad Lorca
1 : 7 Beniel
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Cartagena La Union
(Away) 29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
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29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2 Cartagena La Union
03 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 1 Cartagena La Union
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lorqu | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 84:29 | 93 |
| 2 | Sangonera | 38 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 78:34 | 79 |
| 3 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 75:30 | 79 |
| 4 | Caravaca | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 93:38 | 76 |
| 5 | Pinatar | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 90:38 | 75 |
| 6 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 62:45 | 65 |
| 7 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 55:39 | 62 |
| 8 | Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 9 | Moratalla | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 56:41 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 66:61 | 55 |
| 11 | Santomera | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 46:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Yeclano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 62:54 | 49 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 38 | 14 | 3 | 21 | 43:64 | 45 |
| 14 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 45:66 | 39 |
| 15 | Lorca Deportiva II | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 39:53 | 37 |
| 16 | Ciudad Lorca | 38 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 50:98 | 34 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 42:71 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 41:91 | 29 |
| 19 | CD Alquerias | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27:83 | 22 |
| 20 | Ad Ceuti Atletico | 38 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 25:116 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)
