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Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Ciudad Lorca and Cartagena La Union finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena La Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ciudad Lorca
6%
Draws
90%
Cartagena La Union
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagena La Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cartagena La Union's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cartagena La Union have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 12%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Lorca Cartagena La Union
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 23
Draws 1 5
Losses 27 4
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca
7:0
Nov 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
1:3
May 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
1:4
Dec 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
Cartagena La Union 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Lorca Cartagena La Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Cartagena La Union conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ciudad Lorca scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Cartagena La Union's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cartagena La Union
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Lorca

(Home)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron CF
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
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Cartagena La Union

(Away)
29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0
Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1
Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4
Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1
Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5
Cartagena La Union
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lorqu38289184:2993
2Sangonera382213378:3479
3Real Murcia B38247775:3079
4Caravaca382210693:3876
5Pinatar382112590:3875
6Calasparra FC381811962:4565
7Cartagena La Union381614855:3962
8Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas3816121060:4460
9Moratalla381781356:4159
10Ciudad Cieza3815101366:6155
11Santomera3814111346:4453
12Yeclano381471762:5449
13Muleno CF381432143:6445
14Futbol Club Jumilla381091945:6639
15Lorca Deportiva II381142339:5337
16Ciudad Lorca381042450:9834
17Bala Azul38892142:7133
18Club Olimpico de Totana38852541:9129
19CD Alquerias38572627:8322
20Ad Ceuti Atletico38413325:11613
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)