Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad Lorca vs Lorca Deportiva II

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorca Deportiva II in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ciudad Lorca
20%
Draws
80%
Lorca Deportiva II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lorca Deportiva II lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Lorca.
  • Model gives Lorca Deportiva II a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lorca Deportiva II have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 10%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Lorca Lorca Deportiva II
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 28 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.26
Goals Conceded 4.14 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Ciudad Lorca
5:1
Sep 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:1
Feb 24, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:1
Oct 7, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Ciudad Lorca
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
Lorca Deportiva II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Lorca Lorca Deportiva II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ciudad Lorca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

Lorca Deportiva II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Lorca Deportiva II's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Lorca VS Lorca Deportiva II
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
6.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Lorca

(Home)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
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Lorca Deportiva II

(Away)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)