Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ciudad Lorca in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Lorca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinatar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pinatar lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Lorca.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Pinatar taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 17%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad Lorca | Pinatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 21 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 28 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.3 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Pinatar
0:4
Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Ciudad Lorca
7:1
Mar 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Pinatar
3:2
Oct 20, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Ciudad Lorca
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
Pinatar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad Lorca Pinatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.
Pinatar has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.
Ciudad Lorca scored in 58% of their last 33 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad Lorca
(Home) 17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0 Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8 Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0 Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7 Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0 Ciudad Lorca
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09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8 Deportivo Murcia
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7 Moratalla
08 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 3 Plus Ultra
28 Mar
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 4 Pinatar
19 Mar
Ciudad Lorca
1 : 7 Beniel
Page 1 of 4
Pinatar
(Away) 13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1 EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0 CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 8
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
08 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
2 : 1 Pinatar
25 Mar
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 3 Pinatar
18 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 1 Pinatar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lorqu | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 84:29 | 93 |
| 2 | Sangonera | 38 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 78:34 | 79 |
| 3 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 75:30 | 79 |
| 4 | Caravaca | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 93:38 | 76 |
| 5 | Pinatar | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 90:38 | 75 |
| 6 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 62:45 | 65 |
| 7 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 55:39 | 62 |
| 8 | Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 9 | Moratalla | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 56:41 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 66:61 | 55 |
| 11 | Santomera | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 46:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Yeclano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 62:54 | 49 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 38 | 14 | 3 | 21 | 43:64 | 45 |
| 14 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 45:66 | 39 |
| 15 | Lorca Deportiva II | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 39:53 | 37 |
| 16 | Ciudad Lorca | 38 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 50:98 | 34 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 42:71 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 41:91 | 29 |
| 19 | CD Alquerias | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27:83 | 22 |
| 20 | Ad Ceuti Atletico | 38 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 25:116 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)
