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Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Central Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
20%
Draws
28%
Central Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Central Union.
  • Win probability leans Central Union's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 16%
Central Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Central Union
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Central Union
2:0
Sep 5, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 23 / 100
Central Union 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Central Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Central Union has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz VS Central Union
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Home)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Central Union

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)