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Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Fancesa

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz in this Copa Simon Bolivar matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
17%
Draws
13%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Fancesa.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 11%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Fancesa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Fancesa
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 65 / 100
Fancesa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Fancesa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Fancesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz VS Fancesa
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310