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Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Becerril

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Garcia A.
80' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Ciudad Rodrigo CF and Becerril finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Rodrigo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
15%
Draws
59%
Becerril
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Becerril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Becerril come out ahead of Ciudad Rodrigo CF on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Clean Sheet 20%
Becerril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Rodrigo CF Becerril
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Becerril
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
2:1
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Becerril
1:0
Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Rodrigo CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Becerril Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Rodrigo CF 32 / 100
Becerril 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Becerril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Becerril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Becerril
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Rodrigo CF

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
3 : 4
CD Mojados
01 May
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
27 Apr
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
1 : 2
La Virgen
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6

Becerril

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)